Monday, February 8, 2016

Super Bowl 50 Recap: Peyton Manning's Poetic Justice

Poetic justice. That’s the phrase I thought of when Super Bowl 50 came to an end. Actually, it’s the phrase I thought of before the game even began. It’s the phrase I came up with when I imagined how I would feel after a Denver Broncos victory. And now, it’s the phrase I use, after that victory has been secured. Peyton Manning has received his poetic justice.

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 50, defeating Carolina Panthers, 24-10
This game could not have been more about the defenses. Both pass rushes were unbelievably disruptive in the backfield, and ultimately, the team that made fewer mistakes was victorious. This game was ugly. There were 7 fumbles, 4 of which were recovered by the opposing team. There were two interceptions, but there definitely could have been more if Josh Norman could have held onto a couple of fluttering passes that Manning threw. This game was just ugly, in the sense that the defenses were completely overpowering. Newton was sacked 6 times and hurried many more times. In my Super Bowl prediction, I said that Newton’s mobility was going to make him tough to bring down, but that was not the case at all. Newton was completely overwhelmed, and I don’t think any quarterback could have succeeded against that Denver defense on Sunday. Cam will get a lot of the criticism for this loss, which I think is unfair. The Denver defense was just unbelievably dominant. The Broncos could have taken knees on offense for the entire second half, and they probably still would have won. They pretty much did this is the fourth quarter by running the ball on every play, then punting, knowing that there was no way that the Carolina offense would score a TD against their vaunted defense. And they were right. When Cam fumbled the ball for the final turnover of the game, the Super Bowl was sealed. Until then, the game was close all night; however, it never seemed like the Panthers had a chance, as the Broncos were far superior.


Now that I have gotten the recap out of the way, the rest of this post will be all about Peyton Manning. For 18 years, number 18 blessed us with his presence in the NFL. For 17 years, Peyton Manning was a great quarterback. For about 10 of those years, Manning could be considered the greatest of all time. For 5 of those years, he was the most valuable player in the league. Still, he only had one Super Bowl Championship to show for it. If the quarterback position is all that a team needs to succeed, then where are Peyton Manning’s 5 Super Bowl rings, one for each of the seasons that he was considered the best player in the NFL? The lack of championships was the only knock on Manning’s claim to being the greatest quarterback of all time. Many people feel that since the quarterback is the most important position on the field, the quarterback is the determining factor of success. I do not agree with this, especially after watching the Denver defense will this team to victory for the entire season. After 17 seasons of being great, Peyton Manning was awful for one season. And now, during a season that can easily be considered Manning’s worst NFL season by far, Manning has won his second Super Bowl.


In my mind, this does not add to Manning’s legacy. How could someone believe that Manning’s legacy is greater for winning this second Super Bowl? His career was just as great before Super Bowl 50 as it was after. In fact, in my opinion, this final, terrible statistical season marginally hampered his illustrious career. This season was far and away the worst season of Manning’s career. 9 touchdowns. 17 interceptions. Those were Manning’s regular season numbers. The only other time Manning even threw more interceptions than touchdowns in a season was way back in his rookie season (26 TDs, 28 INTs). The Broncos won in spite of Manning all year, and this game was a perfect example of just how bad Manning was this season. Manning threw for 143 yards and 1 interception. Kubiak no longer trusted him to throw the ball in the fourth quarter, knowing that his defense was all he needed to preserve the lead. There was no need to risk another Manning interception or fumble. So, all Manning had to do to win the game was hand the ball to CJ Anderson, and wait for the clock to run out. I’m fairly certain that any one of the other starting 31 quarterbacks in the league could have won a Super Bowl, backed by this world class defense.


However, my point isn’t to chastise Manning’s final NFL game, rather it is to glorify his NFL career. This is his poetic justice. In Manning’s final season (there is no way he plays another season, right?), he proved that even the worst quarterback can win a Super Bowl. Now, quarterbacks like Marino and Manning (two of the greats who had trouble in the playoffs) don’t have to be haphazardly muddled together with the likes of Joe Flacco, Russell Wilson, Eli Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, etc. Marino and Manning are all-time greats, while the latter few are fortunate Super Bowl winning quarterbacks (granted a quarterback like Wilson is still young and has time to prove how great he can be). It is for this reason that Trent Dilfer is one of my favorite Super Bowl champion quarterbacks. Dilfer is one of the worst quarterbacks (probably the worst before 2015 Peyton Manning) to win a Super Bowl, which he did in Super Bowl XXXV thanks to an unbelievable Ravens defense. Quarterbacks influences a team more than any other position, but they are hardly the all-determining factor.


Tom Brady and Peyton Manning will forever be compared against each other. Tom Brady is generally believed to be the greater of the two all-time great quarterbacks, which is mainly due to his four Super Bowl championships. However, while the four Super Bowls are great indicators of success, they should not be the only deciding factor when determining how great a quarterback is / was. If you really look into it, Brady never won any Super Bowls during his best seasons. He won a Super Bowl during his first season in 2001, long before he had even cemented himself as a top tier quarterback. While he was still improving, during the 2003 and 2004 season, Brady won two more Super Bowls. Coincidentally, Manning was the MVP during both of those seasons. If quarterback ability decided championships, shouldn’t these Super Bowls have belonged to Manning? Finally, Brady notched another Super Bowl victory during the 2014 season, at the ripe age of 37, well out of his prime. Brady is a great quarterback, but to say that his career was greater than Manning’s, based on Super Bowl victories, would be unfair. In fact, when Tom Brady was at his very best, he was not winning Super Bowls (though he came close twice). If Super Bowls were all that mattered, someone would have to explain to me how 2001 Tom Brady (18 TDs, 12 INTs) was better than 2007 Tom Brady (50 TDs, 8 INTs).


In the end, who really cares which quarterback is greater? Who cares whether Manning is considered the greatest of all time? The fact of the matter is that for 18 years, Manning was my favorite player to watch, and now he has received his poetic justice. Manning revolutionized the quarterback position. No one knew more about the game, or the tendencies of his opponents than Manning. No one analyzed a field and called more audibles than Manning. No one had as great of an NFL mind as Manning. As a kid, one of the things I specifically remember from playing Madden on XBox was playing against the Colts because of how annoying and frustrating it was. In the game, most computer-controlled offenses snap the ball within a few seconds. However, when playing Manning’s Colts, the snap would come after about 25 seconds and 4 audible calls. It was so annoying to play against, having to wait so long for every single play. Contrarily, in real life, it was a pleasure to watch (maybe because in the video game it was all meaningless, while in real life it was actually effective). Either way, I will miss what Manning added to the game, even if his last couple seasons were somewhat painful to watch. He is the greatest quarterback I ever saw play, and now he has his second Super Bowl championship. Finally, it’s time for Manning to ride off into the sunset. After 18 years, I think he has given enough to the game.


On a side note, with respect to my predictions, I finished the post-season 10-1 straight up and 9-1-1 ATS. Those numbers are unbelievable. However, there is still room for improvement. I’ll be making my attempt to go undefeated next post-season. For now, we can all relax with the off-season. Next season is only about 30 weeks away.

Friday, February 5, 2016

Super Bowl 50 Prediction

It’s finally here. Super Bowl 50 has arrived, and the top seeds have made it to the biggest championship game in sports. My incredible run of post-season predictions continues into the Super Bowl, as I currently stand at 8-1-1 ATS and 9-1 straight up. Will my momentum carry me to the proper prediction, or am I due for a big, Super Bowl-sized miss? We’ll just have to wait until Sunday to find out.


Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos @ Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA
Sunday, February 7th, 6:30 PM ET (Current Line, Panthers -5.5)

The Broncos and the Panthers have taken very different paths to get here. Carolina has looked unbeatable all season, on their way to the NFC Championship, while Denver has looked lucky just to have made it this far. The Panthers have beaten some of the best teams in the NFL this season, taking down the Packers, Cardinals, and Seahawks (2x). The Broncos have also taken down their fair share of top competition, defeating the Vikings, Packers, Chiefs, Steelers, and Patriots (x2).  However, Denver has also experienced a few slip-ups along the way, falling to Oakland and Indianapolis. Of course, this was in the midst of Peyton's injury, which left the quarterback situation in Denver uncertain. Meanwhile, Carolina has had no issues at quarterback all season. Newton has been unreal all year, and will no doubt win the regular season MVP.

When the season began, it would have been hard to predict that Newton would be this good, especially after Kelvin Benjamin went down with a season-ending injury. Newton’s only reliable target was his tight end, Greg Olsen. However, he has made his thin wide receiver corps look great, on his way to transforming into one of the most accurate passers in the league. Ted Gin Jr.’s career has been revived. Some guy named Devin Funchess has made an impact. Jerricho Cotchery is relevant again. And Greg Olsen has looked like one of the best tight ends in the game. This is receiving by committee. Gin leads all wide receivers in receptions, tallying a mere 44 catches. Meanwhile, Olsen leads the team from the tight end spot, with 77 catches. Without a star at receiver, Newton has been forced to use all of his targets, and he has done it well. His arm looks amazing, which has allowed his mobility to be even more effective. Newton has quickly turned into the ultimate dual threat quarterback, the likes of which we have never seen before. As far as I can remember, McNair, McNabb, and Vick were the best to do it, but even they had deficiencies that Newton does not have. Newton, along with Russell WIlson are ushering in the new era of the mobile quarterback. Defenses are going to have to learn how to stop it, otherwise, Super Cam will continue to celebrate in opponents’ end zones.
 
So, how in the world are the Broncos going to have a chance against the Panthers? Von Miller and Demarcus Ware wreaked havoc on opponents’ backfields all seasons, but will they be able to have the same success against Carolina? Cam’s mobility will keep the pass rush honest, as a collapsed pocket is really just a great excuse for Cam to scramble. Similarly, with Ware and Miller coming hard around the edge, Denver won’t be able to defend the QB draw, which Carolina used so effectively against the Cardinals. On the other side of the ball, Peyton Manning will do his best to lead his offense down the field; however, Denver’s offense has looked incredibly feeble in the playoffs. Anderson and Hillman will have to carry the run game. The receivers will have to play mistake-free (no more drops). Meanwhile, Peyton will have to do his best to be a solid game manager by not turning the ball over against this vaunted Carolina defense. All things considered, it seems ridiculous to believe that the Broncos will have a chance at beating the Panthers in the Super Bowl. However, I was saying the same thing before I nobly (stupidly?) picked Denver to defeat New England in the AFC Championship game. Still, this time is different. The NFC is undoubtedly the superior conference. The Panthers are well-proven and on an unstoppable roll right now. Carolina is the best team in the football right now, but anything can happen in one game. Still, I don’t think Denver has a chance.
Prediction: The Carolina offense goes quiet in the first half, as they are only able to muster a single touchdown. However, that is good enough for a 13-0 lead going into halftime. Carolina adds a field goal and leads 16-0 heading into the fourth quarter. On the first drive of the fourth quarter, Peyton hits Sanders for a touchdown. On the ensuing Carolina possession, Jonathan Stewart fumbles and Von Miller returns it for a touchdown. Late in the fourth quarter, the Broncos take their first lead of the game, when McManus hits a 37 yard field goal. The Denver defense makes a stand on Carolina’s final possession, and Peyton and the Broncos get the win, 17-16.

As I was saying, what idiot would pick the Broncos to win this game? The Panthers look unbeatable. A Denver win would be absolutely shocking. You don’t have to be a sports analyst to know that Carolina should win this game. Still, they have to prove that they can do it on the game’s biggest stage. All will be decided on Sunday. Enjoy Super Bowl 50.