Thursday, September 7, 2017

2017 NFL Season Preview: Final Regular Season Standings

All parts of the Brosh Knows Football NFL Season Preview Series are complete. Hooray! For convenience, you can find the entirety of my predictions of the 2017 NFL regular season below. Teams in bold indicate playoff teams:


If you missed any of the 9 parts of the Season Preview Series, you can find each of them in the links below:

(Jets, Browns, Bears, Bills, Jaguars, Rams, 49ers)
(Chargers, Vikings, Eagles)
(Dolphins, Redskins, Saints, Ravens, Giants)
(Colts, Lions, Bengals, Cardinals)
(Cowboys, Broncos, Texans, Raiders)
(Titans, Panthers, Buccaneers)
(Steelers, Seahawks, Packers, Chiefs)
(Falcons)  
(Patriots)

As far as additional predictions go, the only thing left to predict is the result of Super Bowl LII. While I always feel a little guilty about spoiling the ending of the NFL season for all you fans, I do it anyways because, honesty, I don’t really care about any of you.
In Super Bowl LII…
The Kansas City Chiefs will defeat the Green Bay Packers, 23-20.
In a rematch of Super Bowl I, the Kansas City Chiefs exact sweet revenge on Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. For one terrible offseason, NFL pundits will spend the entirety of the summer months discussing whether or not Alex Smith is elite.
Enjoy the season!

NFL Season Preview Part 9: Teams That Are Satan And So Are Their Fans

Somehow only one team fits this specific description, which I guess makes sense. It takes a truly vile team with a truly vile fanbase to fall into this category, which is why I am obvious talking about the…


New England Patriots (Last Season: 14-2, Super Bowl Champions)
The Patriots looked just as good as ever last season, on their way to a dominating season, which included snagging the Division Title for the 8th straight year (13th out of the past 14 seasons), homefield advantage throughout the playoffs, and another Super Bowl trophy. This team has no weaknesses. The system is humming, Brady still looks good, and Belichick is still at his best. They will once again be favorites to win the Super Bowl, and why not? The Patriots are arguably the greatest mark of consistency of all time. Even when it seemed like all hope was lost, down 28-3 against the Falcons, the Patriots were able to come back, taking advantage of every tiny opportunity that the Falcons gave them. And thanks to a unbelievable catch by Edelman (that was really just ridiculous luck because GODDAMNIT Alford intercept that damn ball and just END THE DAMN GAME ALREADY), the Patriots were able to complete the comeback, winning the first ever Super Bowl to go to overtime. From a neutral standpoint (I was not from a neutral standpoint if you couldn’t tell), this game was objectively incredible. An insane comeback, last minute drama, and two historically great quarterbacks, battling it out to the end.

So, as another season approaches, the Patriots are once again assured to win the AFC East (especially this year, as the Bills and Jets have already decided to tank, and the Dolphins are mediocre at best). The running back by committee will once again be strong, the offense got a shiny new toy in Brandin Cooks (though they lost Edelman for the season), and if Gronk stays healthy this offense should be as good as usual. The defense will continue to do enough to succeed, and blah blah blah blah. The Patriots will be good again, and they will probably get homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. Same old story. I swear to god if they win the Super Bowl again this year…



NFL Season Preview Part 8: Teams That Are Doomed To Be Haunted By The Super Bowl They Lost In Embarrassing Fashion

I hate the Falcons. The Falcons ruined football for me. All they had to do was make one or two competent plays in the second half of their blowout of the Patriots, and the Super Bowl would have been theirs. Instead, they let New England hang around, and for that, they will forever be haunted by this Super Bowl loss. YOUR CAREER IS OVER MATT RYAN. YOU WILL NEVER BE GOOD AGAIN. YOU ARE CURSED NOW. Anyways…


Atlanta Falcons (Last Season: 11-5, NFC Champions)
2017 Prediction: 11-5
Last season, the Falcons recorded one of the greatest offensive seasons in NFL history, and there is no reason to believe that they can’t at least get close to those numbers again (unless they are cursed or something from losing last season’s Super Bowl in embarrassing fashion). Matt Ryan was the focal point of the prolific offense, finish with the highest Yards per Pass Attempt in NFL history at 9.26 (yet he couldn’t find a way to score one damn point in the final 20 minutes of the Super Bowl). Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu make for a great receiving combo, and Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman make up what can be considered the best running back tandem in the league. And with Alex Mack leading the offensive line, this offense will continue to be good. I don’t know if they can score 540 points again this season, but anything even close to that would be impressive.

However, the offense is not the main concern for the Falcons. Their real deficiencies are on the defensive side of the ball, as Atlanta ranked 27th in the league in scoring defense last season. The Falcons were able to sneak around that, thanks to their incredible offense, but I don’t know how far they will be able to go with the same strategy this season. The signing of Dontari Poe will certainly help the defensive cause, but one player is unlikely to be the difference. In an NFC South that is only getting tougher, the Falcons may need to be better than last year, if they hope to defend their division crown.



NFL Season Preview Part 7: Teams That Are Obnoxiously Consistent

Consistently, these are the teams that consistently consist of the most consistent consistency. And they are obnoxious as hell for it. So read up and be annoyed by the teams that you wish you were a fan of.


Pittsburgh Steelers (Last Season: 11-5)
2017 Prediction: 11-5
The Steelers are a historically consistent team, leading all franchises with 6 Super Bowl Championships. Over the last 35 years, the Steelers have made the playoffs 29 times, an impressive 83% rate. Possibly even more impressively, over those same 35 years, the Steelers have won their division 22 times. It seems like this team makes it to the playoffs every damn season. Even now, when the AFC North is actually good, the Steelers are expected to make the playoffs every season. Two of the best offensive players in the league, Brown and Bell currently play for Pittsburgh. And say what you will about Roethlisberger’s intelligence, ability, or even his intelligence, at the end of the day, this guy has found ways to help his team succeed. The defense will continue to be one of the stronger units in the league, and it will only be easier if the offense is as good as advertised. “A good defense is a good offense.” When your offense is playing well, your team is in the lead. And when your team is in the lead, a defense can make the opposition one-dimensional. Buoyed by one of the top offenses in the league, the Steelers are once again primed for another typically successful season.


Seattle Seahawks (Last Season: 10-5-1)
2017 Prediction: 11-5
Somewhat of a newcomer to the category of “Obnoxiously Consistent,” this team has peaked at the perfect time, just as the NFC West has crumbled into one of the weakest divisions in the NFL. Though, this might be an oversimplification. While the Seahawks have not seen the absurd prolonged success that the Steelers have enjoyed, they have made the playoffs in 11 of the last 14 seasons, winning the division 8 of those times. After four straight losing seasons from 2008 to 2011 (one of which somehow resulted in a division championship), the Seahawks have experienced a resurgence to consistency. Backed by the best defense in the league, this team has transformed into an NFC juggernaut.

While I’m still not convinced that the offense is any good, the defense generally holds their own, forcing teams into mistakes, and setting up the offense in good situations. Baldwin is solid, Jimmy Graham is good but underutilized, and the running back crew is strong. However, the offensive line has made Russell Wilson’s life much more difficult in the recent seasons. Fortunately for Seattle, the Legion of Boom - though aging - is still strong, as the Seahawks have recorded a top 3 scoring defense in each of the past 4 seasons. That being said, the strongest aspect of the Seahawks’ claim to the NFC West crown is the NFC West itself. The Rams and Niners are both in rebuild mode, and the Cardinals are a team middling in mediocrity, not quite good enough to be a part of the playoff conversation. Seattle will easily make the playoffs again this season, but will their team have the quality to make another Super Bowl run?


Green Bay Packers (Last Season: 10-6)
2017 Prediction: 11-5
Again, while the Packers haven’t seen the same successful longevity as the Steelers, they have made the playoffs in an impressive 19 of the past 24 seasons, finishing as division champions in 12 of those seasons. Not coincidentally, the Packers have only had to rely on two NFL starting quarterbacks during that time period, Rodgers and Favre. Consistency is key in the NFL, so when you can rely on the same quarterback for 15+ years at a time, you will usually succeed. Once again, Green Bay will enter this season as the favorites to win the NFC North, and Rodgers will be one of the favorites to win the NFL MVP. The offensive weapons for the Packers are quite impressive. While they don’t have the running back position exactly figured out, they do sport one of the strongest wide receiver groups in the league, featuring Nelson, Cobb, Adams, and Bennett. The defense will once again be a formidable group, anchored by their stellar linebacker, Clay Matthews. Even though the Packers always seem to find themselves on some sort of losing streak during the regular season, they almost always pull it together for the post-season. With Rodgers behind center, this team will continue to consistently succeed.


Kansas City Chiefs (Last Season: 12-4)
2017 Prediction: 12-4
Andy Reid jokes aside, this team is actually good. Reid might be the worst in-game strategist in the league, but he is consistently able to get his team into the playoffs. I know, I know. The recent success of the Chiefs doesn’t make any sense to me either. The team always seems nothing more than adequate, with the most adequate quarterback of all time in Alex Smith. All the Chiefs do is consistently win games that they should. However, they rarely beat opponents that are better than them. So, you’re likely to find the Chiefs in the playoffs, but rarely past the first or second round. Maybe “obnoxiously consistent” is the wrong phrase for this team. They are more humorously consistent. Is there any team that will more reliably crash out of the playoffs in humorous fashion than the Chiefs? Last season, Kansas City found a way to lose to Pittsburgh, even without allowing a touchdown (18-16). In 2013, the Chiefs blew a 28 point lead to lose to the Colts, 45-44. Kansas City is a dismal 1-9 in their past 10 playoff games.

Sure, their past does not match that of the other three teams in this category, but this team is good and consistent now. They have one of the most reliable defensive units in the league, and an offense that is the model for ball security. In order for opponents to beat the Chiefs, they have to earn the victory, not wait for the Chiefs to lose. On offense, the loss of Spencer Ware and Jeremy Maclin will certainly hurt. However, any running back in this system generally finds a way to succeed, and Kelce was the focal point of the passing game last year anyways. On defense, Eric Berry and Marcus Peters are still two of the best defensive backs in the game, and the front seven is also one of the top units in the NFL. Kansas City has very few weaknesses. Expect them to keep doing what they do best this season, winning games in slow, methodical, ways. It’s the Andy Reid way (especially the slow part).



Wednesday, September 6, 2017

NFL Season Preview Part 6: Teams That Make Me Say, "Am I An Idiot, Or Are These Teams Actually Gonna Be Good?"

So, I know I have said this before like every post, but we are finally at the point where it is actually good to have not yet read about your team yet in this year’s addition of the Brosh Knows Football Season Previews. Part 6 features teams that are primed to outperform expectations and make the big leap to relevancy and possibly even Super Bowl contention. Maybe these aren’t the safest picks I’ve made, but I imagine you wouldn’t have gotten this far in the season previews if I were simply posting the Vegas Over/Under Win Totals for each team (or maybe you would. I don’t know how intelligent my average reader is). Either way, the success of these teams is definitely not for certain, but they are certainly worth keeping an eye on, as I have pegged them as teams who have the ability to surprise this season. So, who will be the unexpected success stories of this season? Who is primed to make a run through the playoffs? Below are three teams to watch out for as the season unravels.


Tennessee Titans (Last Season: 9-7)
2017 Prediction: 10-6
So, I’m not predicting a monumental improvement from last season, but I am predicting a passing of the guard in the AFC South. Since the inception of the AFC South in 2002, the Texans and (mostly) Colts have dominated this division. However, times are finally changing, as the Titans seem to be the only team in the division who have been trending up lately. The Titans have not won the division since 2008, and I expect that streak to end this season. Mariota is developing into a legitimate NFL quarterback, the offense is getting more comfortable with one another, and the team added some new offensive weapons for Mariota to play with. First round pick, Corey Davis has the potential to be a great addition from the draft, Eric Decker will be a solid number 2, and Delanie Walker is still an excellent safety valve. With the new additions, Mariota certainly has the potential to improve from his strong season in 2016, during which he finished with the 10th best quarterback rating in the league. The only concern for Mariota will be how his recovery from last season’s broken leg has gone.

On the defensive side of the ball, Logan Ryan was the big defensive back signing from offseason free agency. The Titans will hope that he pairs well with their second first round pick from the NFL draft, Adoree’ Jackson. If all goes well, both the defense and the offense have the potential to make great improvements from last year. Oh, and did I mention that this team plays in the AFC South? Have I been making fun of that weak-as-hell division enough during these season previews? I haven’t? Well, the Titans have the luxury of playing in that lousy division, so that certainly helps their chances of succeeding this season.


Carolina Panthers (Last Season: 6-10)
2017 Prediction: 10-6
This team is still only one year removed from a 15-1 regular season that saw them finish as NFC Champions. So, it seems safe to say that they will bounce back from their terribly disappointing 2016 campaign. Even after a down season, I believe that Newton is one of the best quarterbacks in the league. In Benjamin and Olsen, Newton still has talented big targets that he can take advantage of. McCaffrey is a big upgrade to the running game, as the speedy rookie should add a dynamic element that an aging Jonathan Stewart no longer provides to the offense. On the defensive side of the ball, Thompson, Kuechly, and Davis comprise one of the most talented linebacking corps in the league. The biggest hindrance to a redemption season will be the simple fact that they play in the NFC South. It was only three years ago that the NFC South was considered the weakest division in the NFL, after the Panthers won the division with a record of 7-8-1. In the last two seasons, the NFC South has represented the NFC in the Super Bowl. In 2016, the two most potent offenses in the NFL were from the NFC South. This year, I predict that this division will put 3 teams in the playoffs. The NFC South is on the rise. I expect the Panthers to be part of that rise in 2017.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Last Season: 9-7)
2017 Prediction: 11-5
Just like Mariota, Winston is developing into a formidable NFL quarterback. While I don’t expect him to be the driving force to Tampa Bay’s success, I do believe that he has enough talent to manage games and reduce mistakes. Winston certainly has not been the best at taking care of the ball over his NFL career (18 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost in 2016), but with added targets in the form of O.J. Howard and Desean Jackson, I expect better things from the young quarterback, as his talented receiving corps alleviates some of the pressure that Winston has had to handle in past seasons. Mike Evans is still a ridiculous talent and Doug Martin has showed flashes of promise in the past. However, if this team really wants to succeed and challenge for the NFC South crown, they will have to improve on defense. Playing against multiple high-powered offenses in the NFC South certainly inflated their poor defensive numbers from 2016; however, the Bucs surrendered 40 points to the Cardinals and 37 points to the Rams last season. Those totals are unacceptable for even a mediocre NFL defense. So, while the Bucs still have improvements to make, I believe that this is the season that Tampa Bay returns to relevance, though it will be admittedly tough in a strong NFC South.



Tuesday, September 5, 2017

NFL Season Preview Part 5: Teams That Are Fakers

Still haven’t seen your favorite team in the NFL Season Previews? Good for you. It only continues to get better… kinda. These next four teams are your biggest fakers. Was your team surprisingly good last year en route to an unexpected playoff appearance? Well, turns out they were fakers and will go back to mediocrity / sucking this season. Does your team always overperform in the regular season, only to unexpectedly fall apart in the playoffs when they get destroyed by an actually half decent team? Your team is a faker. Does your team have hype around an untalented, unproven quarterback that is sure to fail? Guess what?! Your team is also a faker! Really, nearly every team in the NFL is a faker. However, I decided to narrow down this category to just four particularly pungent fakers. I look forward to the hate mail.


Dallas Cowboys (Last Season: 13-3, NFC Regular Season Top Seed)
2017 Prediction: 6-10
I’ve got some bad news for fans of the Boys. This is a team of fakers. Jerry Jones is evil (I’m not biased because of how influential he was in the Raiders’ move to Las Vegas), Jason Garrett is dumb-looking, and most Cowboys fans are really just random people that like how the hat looks. Anyways, when actually considering the on-field performance, this team overperformed last year and is doomed to totally fall apart this season. Dak and Zeke showed great promise during their rookie campaigns, but I don’t expect the same success this season. Dak’s most impressive stat were his 4 interceptions over the course of the entire regular season. Prescott was never forced to take chances, as he was usually ahead when the offense took the field. I expect the rookie quarterback to be in more uncomfortable situations this season, partly due to changes at offensive line. While the Dallas offensive line is still one of the top units in the NFL, I am skeptical that it will be just as good as last year, as the Cowboys had to replace 2 of their 5 starters (Leary and Free) in the offseason. With more on-the-field pressure in the form of defensive ends and more off the field pressure in the form of higher expectations, I expect to see some cracks in the Dallas armour this season, as Prescott is forced to make throws that he is not used to.  


Denver Broncos (Last Season: 9-7)
2017 Prediction: 9-7
Alright, I’m not exactly saying that Denver will be a huge flop this season, since I am predicting that they finish with 9 wins agains, but I am saying that the ceiling for this team is pretty clear. As long as the Broncos have to rely on Trevor Siemian, I expect the offense to be a sore spot for this team. Recently, Denver has successfully relied on stellar defensive play to lead this team into the playoffs. However, the defense is no longer as strong as it was during Manning’s last season, and no matter how much praise Siemian gets from John Elway, this is not Denver’s second coming of Peyton Manning. Von Miller is still a beast, and the rest of the front seven will cause all kinds of trouble for opposing running and passing games. However, as Talib (31) and Chris Harris (28) continue to age, I am skeptical about this team’s ability to defend against the league’s top receivers, since both defensive backs are beginning to hit the age where cornerbacks start to a lose a step or two. As these two pass their prime, I expect to see holes in the secondary start to open up. However, whether or not Talib and Harris are at their best, the team simply does not have all the pieces it needs to succeed in a very strong AFC West. The Broncos most likely stay relevant in the divisional conversation late into the season, but don’t let that fool you. This is a team of fakers.


Houston Texans (Last Season: 9-7, AFC South Champions)
2017 Prediction: 8-8
Maybe placing this team in the Mediocrity portion of the Season Previews would have been more appropriate, seeing as they have finished 9-7 for the last three straight seasons… however, there true place is here. This team is the ultimate group of fakers. Every year, fans and analysts obsess about their great defense, but let’s face it, any defense would look good when they get to play 6 games against the worst division in the NFL every year. Switch out the Texans in the AFC South for some lousy team with a solid defense (let’s say the Rams), and that team would win this division. In 2015, the Texans snuck into the playoffs as division champions, only to get lit up by the Chiefs, 30-0. Last season, the Texans once again limped in as the weakest division champion. After defeating the Raiders in a game I don’t want to talk about, the Texans promptly loss to an actual good team, the Patriots (though I’ll admit that that game was more competitive than I thought it would be, but still they lost by 18). So, how long will this charade last? With Tom Savage behind center, the Texans may not be able to defend their division crown for much longer. Will Houston once again sneak into the postseason as the weakest team in the playoffs, or should we expect a titanic shift in the divisional landscape this season?


Oakland Raiders (Last Season: 12-4, First playoff appearance since 2002)
2017 Prediction: 9-7
As much as it pains me to say it, the Raiders are fakers. In games decided by 7 points or less, the Raiders were a ridiculous 8-1. You can say all you want about the Raiders “learning to win,” but luck was the real factor in these games (though it’s hard to feel lucky when your starting quarterback gets hurt in Week 16 of a potential MVP caliber season). Fortunate penalties, botched holds, missed field goals, and timely turnovers all helped steer the Raiders to 12 wins. Nearly every game was a nail-biter, with the only comfortable wins coming against the Jaguars, Broncos, and Colts. So why is this a team of fakers? I mean, surely the offense will be great again, right? Carr is consistent. The strong receiving corps has only gotten better with the additions of Cordarrelle Patterson and Jared Cook. The offensive line has the chance to be the strongest in the NFL. And the running game gets to experience the return of Marshawn Lynch.

While that’s all good and dandy for the offense, the biggest issues were all on the defensive side of the ball for the Raiders last year, and most of them went unaddressed in the offseason. Of all the issues, linebacker is the biggest, as the Raiders have yet to sign a decent inside linebacker.  The defensive backs are a mess. Sean Smith is slow. David Amerson is good in flashes, but would realistically be a number two cornerback in a proper NFL defense. And Gareon Conley is dealing with injuries (and domestic abuse charges). Meanwhile, Reggie Nelson is horribly overrated, as he is simply too slow to play free safety effectively. With enormous deficiencies at safety and linebacker, tight ends will continue to tear up this defense, just as they did last season. The Raiders are still good, and the potent passing attack will certainly keep them in striking distance during most games this season. However, there are simply too many holes on defense for this team. Expect them to regress from last season’s strong regular season.



NFL Season Preview Part 4: Teams That Will Let You Down

At the end of the season, 31 out of 32 teams will have "let you down." However, this category is not meant for all that disappointment. Instead, I have picked four teams that have made an art of letting their fans down. These are the maestros of disappointment. Some of these teams have been doing it for years, while others are new to the art, yet mastering it quite quickly. Either way, they will all let you down in gut-wrenching, tear-jerking fashion.


Indianapolis Colts (Last Season: 8-8)
2017 Prediction: 6-10
The Andrew Luck era started promisingly back in 2012, with three straight playoff seasons. However, since then, the Colts have finished at 8-8 in back to back seasons. Normally, this wouldn’t be too disappointing for a typical NFL franchise, especially since the Colts have been good for a long time. So, a couple of down seasons should not be too much to worry about. However, the Colts continue to be the only team in the division with a half-decent quarterback, so they should really be winning this division every season. Yet, the Texans have taken control of the South lately, while being led by the likes of Brian Hoyer, Brock Osweiler (lol), and Tom Savage. The Colts’ deficiencies are clearly at offensive line and on defense, yet management fails to address either problem. Luck is continually battling injury. Not because he is fragile, but rather because he is constantly getting hit due to a line that simply can’t protect him. The Colts are so close to dominance again. The AFC South has been ripe for the taking for multiple years, yet all four of the god awful teams that comprise this embarrassingly terrible division have failed to capitalize. If the Colts don’t fix their issues, they may fall out of relevancy sooner rather than later.


Detroit Lions (Last Season: 9-7)
2017 Prediction: 7-9
The Lions proudly join the ever-growing list of teams happy to pony up ridiculous amounts of money for slightly above average quarterback play. Matt Stafford recently became the highest paid player in league history, which is the same as saying, “Matt Stafford just became the most recent half-decent quarterback to sign a contract.” Stafford was able to sneak the Lions into the playoffs last season, even though Detroit only won 9 games. However, they were handed their 9th straight playoff loss by the Seattle Seahawks, further perpetuating their consistently disappointing trend as a franchise (no wonder Calvin Johnson and Barry Sanders retired young).

Detroit is your classic down on your luck city, looking for a good team to raise their spirits. Unfortunately, the Lions may be the worst-suited team for this job. The few recent times that Detroit has found a way to make the playoffs, they have crashed out immediately. While this trend may seem repetitive and comforting for the fans, the intricacies of each disappointing season are unique, thereby making each one its own special brand of disappointment. One season Calvin Johnson is considered the savior. The next season it is the defense that will finally carry this team to prominence. And the season after that, it is the lethal passing game that is adapting ahead of other teams, as they choose to throw the ball on like 70% of plays. Yet, even with all this change, every season produces the same result. One shitty playoff game, or no playoff games at all. Being a fan of this team sucks.


Cincinnati Bengals (Last Season: 6-9-1)
2017 Prediction: 10-6
The Bengals and Lions have pretty similar histories of disappointment. The Bengals are on an ever-so-slightly less embarrassing playoff losing streak of 8 games, compared to Detroit’s 9. However, what makes Cincinnati’s playoff disappointment even more disappointing is the fact that they had made the playoffs for five straight years from 2012 to 2015, losing in their first game every single time. Finally, in 2016, the Bengals were able to end that five year streak, by simply not making the playoffs. That was a kind gesture to their fans who must have been tired of all of the postseason disappointment. Personally, as a neutral observer, I find it hard to forgive the Bengals for wasting the best years of Carson Palmer's career, before refusing to honor his trade request, forcing him into early "retirement."

This franchise is hopelessly disappointing. However, they have to win a playoff game eventually, right? Dalton is certainly no elite quarterback, but the roster is still strong enough to at least get into the playoffs and luck into an easy matchup against a lousy team, right? I mean, the Texans won a playoff game with Osweiler last year. Of course, it was all about finding that lucky matchup. For Houston, their matchup blessing was having the great fortune of facing the Derek Carr-less Raiders, a game that almost any NFL team would have won (having homefield advantage by virtue of winning the awful AFC South helped as well). That’s where the hope for the Bengals lies! It is so simple. All they have to do is make the playoffs, get super lucky that their first round game is against a team whose quarterback just broke his leg, and then not blow the easy opportunity to win. Hear that Bengals fans? There’s still hope! (Disclaimer: There is no hope).


Arizona Cardinals (Last Season: 7-8-1)
2017 Prediction: 8-8
If you read my post on the Saints, then you will recognize that the Cardinals are also a team that suffer from “Old Quarterback Syndrome.” Palmer is trying to squeeze a couple of decent years out of his career, and the Cardinals are willing to let him do that, all in pursuit of trying to force the team into the playoffs now. Ultimately, it will all be for nothing. The NFC West is not a good division, but the Cardinals are certainly not the team to unseat the Seahawks. For the time being, Seattle owns the division. None of this disappointment is new for Arizona fans. In the Super Bowl era, the Cardinals have only made the playoffs 8 times and the Super Bowl once. This would be acceptable if Arizona was a recent expansion team. However, this is a franchise that has been around for quite awhile now. Since the NFL playoffs began in 1932, the Cardinals have won the championship one time, in 1947. Disappointment is the way of the Cardinals. Whether in St. Louis, Chicago or Phoenix, it always has been. This season, even with an incredibly talented David Johnson and one of the stronger defensive units in the NFL, will certainly end in the usual disappointment.




Saturday, September 2, 2017

NFL Season Preview Part 3: Teams that are Defined by Mediocrity

So, you’ve made it this far and you haven’t seen your team’s name yet on the Season Preview. Congrats! We’re past the worst of it. Though, is there anything more boring than watching the same lousy team peter out to another .500 season year after year? Maybe the purgatory of being stuck in an endless loop of consistently finishing only a couple games out of the playoffs is even worse than knowing that your team won’t make the playoffs. Maybe consistent mediocrity is enough to make a fan go insane… Maybe, there is nothing worse than being stuck in the NFL’s version of purgatory, being not quite good enough to actually win anything...


Miami Dolphins (Last Season: 10-6)
2017 Prediction: 6-10
Tannehill defines mediocrity. Tannehill’s career NFL record is 37-40 (.480). During his 5 year NFL tenure, Tannehill has never won more than 8 games in a season. With Tanehille behind Center, mediocrity is assured. However, before the season even started, Tannehill tore his ACL, leaving the Dolphins in a panic. So, what do you do when your perpetually mediocre quarterback goes on season ending injured reserve? You sign an EVEN MORE mediocre quarterback out of retirement to replace him. *Enter Jay Cutler stage left* Jay Cutler’s overall career record is a hilarious 68-71 (.489). The exact same 3 games under .500 that Tannehill’s NFL career record currently stands at! You can’t make this stuff up. Unfortunately for the Dolphins, mediocrity might be too high a bar for this woeful team, as I only predict them to win 6 games. The only positive thing that I can say about the 2017 season outlook is that the Bills and Jets have pretty much already given up, so Miami is basically guaranteed at least a few divisional victories. Also, Brady has to retire sometime, right? Man, the AFC East is pathetic. Just hand the division over to the Patriots already.  


Washington Redskins (Last Season: 8-7-1)
2017 Prediction: 6-10
The Redskins are trapped. Washington have blocked Kirk Cousins’ ability to test the free agency market for two straight seasons now, through the use of a franchise tag. Now, I won’t get into all the details (especially because I don’t understand it 100% myself), but the bottom line is that the Redskins are being forced to pay top dollar so that they won’t have to win a bidding war against QB desperate teams like the Niners and Browns for the services of Kirk Cousins. After tagging Cousins this season for a ridiculous $24 million, the Redskins will be forced to apply a $29 million “Transition Tag” to keep him off the market again next year. That’s a lot of money for a slightly above average quarterback! Now, the quarterback does not define an entire team, but I will say that if management is bundling situations like this, I can only assume that they are making similar cap room optimization mistakes elsewhere throughout their roster. As far as the rest of their team goes, the receivers are ok. Their defense has Josh Norman, but is otherwise pretty meh. And the NFC East is just good enough that this team is just out of reach of the playoffs. I see nothing but mediocrity ahead of them, so don’t expect to see the Redskins in the playoffs anytime soon.


New Orleans Saints (Last Season: 7-9)
2017 Prediction: 8-8
The Saints are one of a number of teams that are stuck with what I call, “Old Quarterback Syndrome.” Often incurable, this disease plagues the decent teams that are trapped with an above average, but aging quarterback. Brees is still good enough to be a starter, but can New Orleans really muster another Super Bowl, or even playoff season with Brees at quarterback? Seems like a tall order for a guy well past his prime. The worst symptoms of the disease are that you can’t just cut the guy because he is still the best available option, and burning bridges like that is not a good decision with regards to team morale. So, you are just kinda stuck with the guy until he chooses to retire or breaks a leg. Old Quarterback Syndrome goes hand-in-hand with mediocrity. Couple this unfortunate disease with a tough division, and recovery can be tough. The Saints certainly have the chance to be competitive this season, as their offense is good enough to keep them in any game. However, the defense continues to be an insurmountable issue for New Orleans. My recommendation would be to set up some sort of rewards system that motivates the defense to play better and/or try to injure the other teams best player. Oh, wait, they already tried that? Nevermind then. This defense is screwed. Maybe they will catch a few breaks this season, but I can’t imagine them getting to the playoffs, especially considering the talent level of what I consider to be a very strong NFC South division.


Baltimore Ravens (Last Season: 8-8)
2017 Prediction: 9-7
So… like… what’s the deal with Flacco? I mean, I love hating on him for being not that great, but have you seen Ryan Mallet in the preseason? The Ravens are screwed if Flacco is not healthy by Week 1, which says more about Mallett than it does about Flacco. Anyways, maybe “mediocre” is a little harsh for the Ravens. In a consistently tough division, Baltimore has made the playoffs 6 of the last 9 seasons, one of which included an improbable run to a Super Bowl Championship. However, it has been awhile since they have seemed like that elite talent, having not eclipsed 10 wins since 2011. So, I am sticking with the title of “mediocre” for Baltimore. Flacco is fine. Maclin and Wallace are both fast receivers that used to be better. The running back situation is a confusing mess. I guess Woodhead is their best running back? On the other side of the ball, the defense should be able to hold their own. The defensive backs of Smith, Weddle, and Carr is quite formidable, and the linebackers, anchored by Terell Suggs, should be solid. Like I said, the “mediocre” tag may seem a bit harsh, but I  don’t care. I’m leaving them here. Maybe they’ll make the playoffs. Maybe they won’t. This team is OK.


New York Giants (Last Season: 11-5)
2017 Prediction: 10-6
Look, I get it. The Giants have had recent success, mainly in the form of two Super Bowl Championships in the past 10 years. But really, this team is the most mediocre of them all. Only the Giants could have an equal likelihood of finishing with 6 wins as they do of making the playoffs every single year. It seems like this team goes on either a five game winning or losing streak every season. Eli is the dumbest looking NFL player in the league, and he makes the most erratic passes to back up his dumb looks. Eli is a lesser Brett Favre. Just a guy that likes to make ridiculously stupid throws, while still somehow winning a Super Bowl or two. Eli is awful. I don’t care if you have a different opinion. Your opinion is wrong. My opinion is right. After he won his second Super Bowl, dumb NFL analysts started debating which the better Manning was. Uhhh…. One is the greatest quarterback of all time, and the other should be given a coloring book. Anyways, the Giants will be fine again. They might even win the division. OBJ is fun as hell to watch, and the  defense is still good enough to keep their team in games… until Eli blows it in the fourth quarter with a stupid as hell interception. Enjoy your first round playoff exit, Giants fans… unless you win a Super Bowl. Somehow that happens in New York every once in awhile.  



Friday, September 1, 2017

NFL Season Preview Part 2: Teams that are Emotional Roller Coasters

While the teams that are Dumpster Fires crush their fans in an expected way, some teams are even more cruel than that. Some teams like to take you on a wild up and down ride, only to dump you off on your face at the end. By the time you figure out what happened, your favorite team has most likely crashed out of playoff contention or (if slightly luckier) the actual playoffs, in a most embarrassingly lousy way. For the fans of the following teams, I feel for you. Though, if it makes you feel any better, 31 out of 32 teams end each season sad. Find comfort in your company!

Los Angeles Chargers (Last Season: 5-11, played in San Diego)
2017 Prediction: 8-8
Last season, the Chargers found all kinds of ridiculous ways to lose. In games decided by 7 points or less, the Chargers were a remarkable 1-8. The Chargers lost on wild comebacks, botched field goal holds, and unlucky late game turnovers. If you are an intelligent fan, then you know that a 1-8 record in close games is mostly a factor of luck, not player skill or “clutch factor.” So, you may be thinking that this team is primed for a return to contention. Well, let me stop you right there. While, the Chargers certainly have the players to make this possible, they still have a number of weaknesses that need to be sorted out, along with their poor home field situation. The Los Angeles Chargers will have a tough time taking advantage of any “homefield advantage,” seeing that they will be playing 8 games in a 27,000 seat soccer stadium, in a city where they are, at best, the third most popular team. Though, maybe the move will eventually prove to be a positive, fresh start for this franchise. The Chargers have not won more than 9 games in a season since 2009, a span that saw them win one playoff game (2013, against a Bengals team that refuses to win in the postseason). Unfortunately, if the Chargers want to get back to winning, they’ll have to do it soon. Rivers is certainly in the twilight of his career, so it appears that the Charger window of opportunity is closing fast, especially in a talented AFC West. If there are any positive takeaways for Charger fans, it is that I still expect them to be the best team in LA.

Minnesota Vikings (Last Season: 8-8)
2017 Prediction: 8-8
The Vikings went on a wild ride last year. Before the season even started, the future of the franchise, Teddy Bridgewater, went down with a season-ending knee surgery (an injury that will keep him out for at least a portion of this year as well), which all but eliminated their hopes of repeating as champions of the NFC North. The official diagnosis of the injury was “knee exploded to pieces.” Hours after the injury, a panicked management made a gut-decision trade for Sam Bradford, immediately making the team look foolish, while simultaneously infuriating fans. Then, the unpredictable ride for the Vikings continued, as they started the season 5-0, appearing to be a lock for the playoffs. Fans were thrilled! This team was good enough to win with or without Teddy Bridgewater! It turned out management had actually made a great decision to grab Bradford, even if it cost them a valuable first round pick! Well… not so much. Minnesota’s roller coaster ride ended in the miserable fashion that it always does. The Vikings crashed out of playoff contention, finishing the season 3-8, becoming the first team in NFL history to miss the playoffs after starting a season 5-0 twice. As for this year, the defense is solid. The offense sometimes creates positive plays (even if a majority of those plays are 3 yard Bradford checkdowns), but is there really any hope for this team? The Vikings are trapped in 0.500 limbo. I see them repeating last year’s mediocre win total.

Philadelphia Eagles (Last Season: 7-9)
2017 Prediction: 9-7
2016 was the first year of Carson Wentz, and it seemed like it was a great decision from the get-go, as the Eagles started the season emphatically, heading into their bye week at 3-0. Their three straight wins even included a thrashing of the Pittsburgh Steelers, 34-3. From there, the Eagles lost 4 of 5, where all of their losses were by 7 points or less. A surprise victory over the high-powered Atlanta Falcons restored hope to the Philadelphia faithful before five straight losses ended all chances of a successful 2016 season. Similarly to the Chargers, this was a team that could not pull out the close games. In one score games, the Eagles finished the 2017 season at 1-6. Based on that, I expect the Eagles to finish at least a little better than last season, which is why 9-7 seems attainable. Wentz has a year of experience and confidence under his belt; however, was he really as good as people thought last season? The hot start for the Eagles certainly biased opinions of the young quarterback, as most will remember Wentz as having a solid year. However, when you look back at the stats from the 2016 season, Wentz finished with a dismal quarterback rating of 79.3, which ranked him 25th in the league. He also finished the regular season with a paltry 16 touchdowns, to go along with his 14 interceptions. The addition of Alshon Jeffery should help the passing game a little bit, but is it enough to make this team a playoff contender?



Thursday, August 31, 2017

NFL Season Preview Part 1: Teams That Are Dumpster Fires

I’m back! The NFL season is fast approaching, and I still have a ton of predictions to write! This year, I decided to go with a new format, breaking up the season preview into multiple parts. Hopefully you like it. So, without further ado, I give you Part 1 of the Brosh Knows Football Season Preview. Let’s start with “Teams That Are Dumpster Fires.”


If you’ve ever been to a Raider game, you know that every game starts with the same nonsense. An old Raider legend - or (more recently) some Raider no name since they are running out of household names - lights the torch that signifies Al Davis’s Eternal Flame. Then, over the loudspeaker, a Davis quote is announced, “The fire that burns brightest in the Raiders organization is the will to win.” Well, these teams are the Dumpster Fires of Al Davis Eternal Flames. For these teams, I say, “The dumpster that burns brightest is the most inept management trying to put together the most embarrassing football teams in the NFL, year after year.” Here are your brightest NFL dumpster fires:


New York Jets (Last Season: 5-11)
2017 Prediction: 1-15
HAHAHAHA. This team is so bad. The Jets ponied up BIG money to sign the NFL’s perennial backup, Josh McCown. For a normal team, a McCown signing usually indicates that all hope is lost because your first three options have gone down the toilet. For the Jets, this is option 1. Well, at least he has plenty of good receiving targets… actually, I just looked at the roster, and I don’t recognize a damn name. Unless Seferian-Jenkins reels in 175 catches this season (fun fact: Seferian-Jenkins is suspended for the first two games of the season!), this passing attack is royally screwed. With such a woefully poor offensive attack, every opposing defense will be sure to plug the box, eliminating any chance the Jets had of having a professional-looking running game. Expect lots of 2 yard carries into massive walls of defensive linemen for Forte and Powell. With such a terrible roster, the Jets seem destined for the first pick in next year’s draft. However, it’s the Jets, so expect them to even screw that up. They will most likely lose it to the…


Cleveland Browns (Last Season: 1-15)
2017 Prediction: 2-14
In NFL history, no team’s dumpster fire has burned brighter than that of the Cleveland Browns. Over the last 350 or so NFL seasons, the Browns have been the joke of the league. This team started tanking before tanking was even cool. And what do they have to show for it? One NBA Championship (though I think it’s unrelated to the Browns). But seriously, after so many seasons of tanking, one would expect the Browns to have at least stumbled upon some elite draft prospects, right? WRONG. While Myles Garrett looks like he has the potential to be a great player, he is certainly not the savior of the Browns. He said it himself,
“I can't be a savior. But I can be the best I can be. I can give it my all and make plays and dominate my side of the field, but it takes all 11 guys with a certain thought process that we're going to go out there and we're going to win."
Based on Garrett’s comments, the team is only 10 guys away from being good again (one closer than last year!). That is the reason I predict that they will DOUBLE last year’s win total.
As usual, the quarterback situation in Cleveland is a complete mess, as Osweiller, who was traded to the Browns as a cash dump for the Texans, was first in line for the starting job. However, he has finally lost it to the most unlucky man in the world, DeShone Kizer. Kizer is about to get the rudest of NFL welcome parties. Expect Kizer to spend lots of time scrambling, laying on his back, and/or throwing to receivers not running the correct routes. The future is not bright for Cleveland.


Chicago Bears (Last Season: 3-13)
2017 Prediction: 4-12
Nothing says dumpster fire like a management team that is so blatantly out of sync. Besides the fact that the Bears paid an exorbitant amount of money for Mike Glennon, they also then traded an unreasonable amount of picks to move up one draft spot to grab another totally unproven quarterback, Mitchell Trubisky. This was hilarious for so many reasons. Glennon had already been named started, and he had no idea that this pick was coming (He was even invited to Soldier Field to attend the Bears draft party). He obviously would have preferred an offensive weapon or a defensive addition to help his team’s cause. However, management did not execute the obvious strategy, and instead were quick to make it clear to Glennon that he was just a temporary stop gap, so that they could eventually groom Trubisky into their starting quarterback of the future. Beyond that, Bears head coach John Fox was also apparently unaware of the plan to trade up for Trubisky until the day of the draft. The whole thing was hilarious, making me nostalgic of similarly awful draft day decisions made by the Raiders over the past 10 years or so.


Buffalo Bills (Last Season: 7-9)
2017 Prediction: 5-11
Just when things were starting to look up, this team decides to dump all of their reasonable talent, piss off their starting quarterback (who is a mediocre talent at best), and lose their only decent remaining receiving target to retirement. Here’s a fun fact, the Bills haven’t made the playoffs since 1999! For reference, the first Super Bowl I even remember watching was in 1998, when the Packers played the Broncos in Super Bowl XXXII. I did not know much about football at that point in my life, and I certainly was not aware of a team called the Buffalo Bills. Now, nearly two decades later, the Bills have gone through the wringer, having to deal with years of horrible quarterbacking, bad weather, and Patriot domination. More recently, fans have been treated to a horribly inept Rex Ryan, the dying star that is Lesean McCoy (though honestly, McCoy still shows flashes of brilliance from time to time), and an injury-prone star receiver, who is now enjoying the wonderful LA weather. The future is not bright for the Bills, as they appear to be in total rebuild mode. I guess the entire AFC East has just decided to pack it in until Brady retires.


Jacksonville Jaguars (Last Season: 3-13)
2017 Prediction: 5-11
Compared to the Bills playoff drought, the Jaguars have nothing to complain about. The Jaguars last made the playoffs in 2007, about half the length of the drought that has been going on up north in Buffalo. Though, if you’ve been a fan of the Jaguars since their inception, maybe that drought seems longer, considering the fact that the franchise has only been around since 1995. Since that time, the Jags have finished first in their division twice, back in the good old days of Fred Taylor and Jimmy Smith (1998 and 1999). Perhaps the worst part about this drought is that the AFC South has been one of the weakest divisions in the NFL since Peyton Manning’s last season in Indianapolis in 2010. Since then, the Jags have been stuck in quarterback limbo, and this year will be no different, as they choose between Chad Henne and Blake Bortles. Fournette will be an exciting addition alongside other weapons like Allen Robinson, but Fournette is hardly the answer for a team that is severely lacking offensively. Similarly, the defense is still a mediocre unit. Expect more of the same from Jacksonville this season. Their dumpster fire still burns bright!


Los Angeles Rams (Last Season: 4-12)
2017 Prediction: 5-11
We have arrived at year two of Jared Goff, and the Rams have decided to celebrate it by providing the young Cal graduate with no offensive line improvements! Hooray! That sounds like a great decision for the team that allowed the second most sacks last season (second only to the Browns). Gurley may be a great talent, but I am skeptical that he will be able to improve on his 3.2 YPC average from last year. The running game is largely a function of offensive line strength. So, without much line improvement, I don’t expect Gurley to return to his rookie form. Watkins and Cupp certainly make for solid targets for Goff, but this is still a makeshift team that needs much more experience together before they can form a cohesive offensive unit. The defense should be solid again, but with little help from their offense, I expect that unit to be on the field for a majority of the time during most games this season. I will say one thing, Sean McVay is certainly an improvement from Jeff Fisher. Though, my source is my friend who watched the Rams on Hard Knocks last season, so take my opinion of Jeff Fisher with a grain of salt.


San Francisco 49ers (Last Season: 2-14)
2017 Prediction: 6-10
Not exactly a raging dumpster fire, but a 6 win prediction is still nothing to get too excited about. This team is still deep into their rebuild, and a disinterested fanbase (due to the alienation of moving the team to Santa Clara) along with a franchise that is still searching for an identity, certainly is not helping the cause. That being said, I am 100% on the Brian Hoyer train. Two years ago, I said this about the San Francisco gunslinger:
“I actually like Brian Hoyer a lot. He played very well in Cleveland and could be just good enough to lead the Texans into the playoffs.”
Hoyer was able to win games in Cleveland, and in the following year, he was able to lead the Houston Texans to a playoff berth, even though he was benched for a few games earlier in that season. Hoyer has long been a journeyman of NFL starting jobs, and this stint in San Francisco should be more of the same. However, I think in the right offensive system (Kyle Shanahan) and with a long enough leash that gives him time to grow (let the man play out his 2 year contract!), Hoyer has the chance to succeed in this San Francisco offense. Couple that with a solid and improving young defense, and maybe this team can actually start making strides towards returning to relevancy.