Tuesday, September 4, 2018

2018 NFL Season Preview: AFC South

The AFC South is clearly one of the weakest divisions in the NFL. The Texans should be decent again with the return of a competent quarterback. However, the rest of the division is garbage. The Jaguars are your classic one-hit wonder. The Colts are so bad that even a healthy Andrew Luck won’t be able to save them. And the Titans are mediocre garbage. So, who will win this horrible division?

Houston Texans (Last Season: 4-12)
2018 Prediction: 11-5
An easy choice for a “worst-to-first” candidate, the Texans might actually be worth a damn this season. The defense is one of the best in the business, and the offense finally seems to be coming together, as a healthy Watson may be all it takes to propel this team to a Conference Championship game. Of course, one should exhibit caution when jumping on the Texan hype train, since Watson’s success has only been in a small sample size. However, even a mediocre quarterback can be made to look incredible when Deandre Hopkins is coming down with ridiculous catches, so anything remotely close to Watson’s previous success should be enough to keep this offense scoring.

As for the defense, a healthy J.J. Watt means a near unstoppable pass rush. Even if teams choose to double the ex-defensive player of the year, Clowney ad Mercilus will still be able to wreak havoc on opposing quarterbacks. The Texans have the potential to be great this season. If Watson’s six NFL starts were indicative of his true ability, and not just a fluke, Houston should be considered a serious Super Bowl contender.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Last Season: 10-6)
2018 Prediction: 9-7
Last season, the Jaguars were one bad call (or one full quarter of horrible play-calling) away from making it to the Super Bowl, so it would be unfair of me to be too hard them, but I can try! Bortles is garbage, they lost Allen Robinson to the Bears, and their next best receiver just went down with as season-ending knee injury. Other than relying on the incredible ability of Leonard Fournette, how is this team supposed to score any points?

Fortunately for Jacksonville, the defense is still awesome, so there is certainly still hope, but I find it hard to believe that the Jaguars are going to replicate their impressive performance from last year. Myles Jack and Jalen Ramsey lead an incredible defensive unit that is sure to keep them in every game, but if Bortles can’t score any points, is there really any hope for this team? Last season may be the best Jaguar team that we see for quite some time, and they were certainly not world-beaters. Ten regular season wins is good but certainly not unbelievably impressive, especially when you consider the fact that one of their losses was against the horrid Jets.

Indianapolis Colts (Last Season: 4-12)
2018 Prediction: 6-10
Andrew Luck. Those are the only two words that matter to the Colts. Their season rests on his health. However, even with a healthy Luck, I am concerned about whether or not this team can generate any consistency on either side of the ball. Throughout Luck’s career in Indianapolis, he has been burdened with a weak offensive line, forcing him to rush his throws and take lots of hits. Now, with Luck potentially back for a full season, the Colts are still severely lacking talent on offense. The backfield is a mess, and Hilton is the only receiver with big play-making abilities.

It almost seems cruel to bring Luck back into such a lousy situation. The only hope for Indy is that maybe a decent season will attract top players to consider moving out to Indiana to play with a premier talent at quarterback. If they are unable to put even a decent season together, they may be stuck at the bottom of the AFC for multiple years to come.

Tennessee Titans (Last Season: 9-7)
2018 Prediction: 6-10
Does anyone remember the last time the Titans finished a season with double digit wins? No one? That’s what I thought. It’s been 10 seasons since Tennessee won more than 9 games in a season, back in their very successful 2008 campaign, where they finished 13-3 (though they lost to the Ravens in the first round of the playoffs that season). While that is definitely not the longest such streak of futility in this league, it is certainly not good.

Fortunately for Titan fans, the last two seasons have resulted in nine win seasons. So, why do I think they will return to losing ways this season? Well, it is pretty simple. Last year, playing in a division with zero quality quarterbacks, the Titans only managed nine wins. Two teams in the AFC South finished at 4-12 last year, and Tennessee was still only able to record nine victories. That’s pretty futile. So, after an offseason that saw little change to the roster, I expect this team to return to a more appropriately disappointing form. Mariota is fine, but he still hasn’t proven himself to be good enough to lead a mediocre side like Tennessee to great heights. Instead, I expect Mariota’s career to mirror that of an Andy Dalton, always struggling to win some games with the occasional playoff appearance.

So, as you can see, the AFC South is horrible. I wonder if the AFC East is any good…


 

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