Thursday, September 6, 2018

2018 NFL Season Preview: NFC South

The NFC South is clearly one of the weakest divisions in the NFL. Other than the Panthers, Saints, and Falcons, this division simply has no talent, especially at the quarterback position. Sure the Panthers have Newton, the Saints have Brees, and the Falcons have Ryan, but only two of those quarterbacks have won a regular season MVP in the last three seasons, and the one that didn’t is almost certain to become the NFL’s all-time passing yards leader this year.  Also, the other team is the Bucs, who are just horrible.

And I know that this division led the league in win percentage last season, but that means nothing in 2018! Hmmm… now that I think about it, maybe this division is actually pretty good. With three legitimate contenders in the mix, it is anyone’s guess who will the competitive NFC South... So, who will win this horrible division?  

Carolina Panthers (Last Season: 11-5)
2018 Prediction: 11-5
Prepare for the return of Super Cam. During the two years since his MVP season in 2016, Cam has not been very good. Injuries to himself and his favorite offensive weapons have made it tough on the Carolina quarterback recently. So, why do I think this year will be different? Simply, Cam seems to be much healthier this year, and he has a very talented group of skill players at his disposal. McCaffrey is poised for a big year. CJ Anderson is a nice addition to the backfield. Moore looks like a potential great NFL wide receiver. Funchess is entering his prime. And Greg Olsen continues to be the rock of the Carolina receiving corps and the security blanket that every great quarterback loves.

The defense is a top tier unit, led by the impressive linebacker duo of Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis (though Davis is suspended for the first four games of the season). During Davis's aforementioned suspension, Shaq Thompson will get the chance to showcase his abilities, as the Panthers have high hopes for their young stud linebacker. On the defensive line, Carolina beefed up with the addition of Dontari Poe, which should help to create a consistent pass rush and clog up running lanes. The Panthers are primed for another great season, as they have retained most of last season’s talent. The only question is, can they win the stacked NFC South?

New Orleans Saints (Last Season: 11-5)
2018 Prediction: 10-6
Brees continues to shine into his golden years. At the moment, he is a mere 1,496 yards away from setting the all-time mark in the NFL. Over his illustrious 16 year career as a starter, he has led the league in passing yards seven times. And now, at 39 years old, he will look to lead the Saints to the playoffs for the seventh time in 13 tries. While Brees is still playing at a high level, the Saints offense is not as good as it has been in the past. Fortunately for New Orleans, their defense has begun to peak at just the right time, keeping the Saints’ window of opportunity open for just a little longer.

After finishing as the worst and second worst scoring defenses in the 2015 and 2016 seasons, the Saints have finally appeared to figure things out, as they finished tenth in scoring defense last year. New Orleans finally has a defense that can help supplement the consistently solid offense. With Kamara, Ingram, Thomas, Gin, and Meredith, this offense appears to have the weapons to help Brees hold off retirement for as long as possible. And, even if Brees believes that he has another few years of football left in him, the Saints are running out of time to put together another Super Bowl run before he finally retires. This season might be Brees’ last chance to grab his second Lombardi Trophy, which would help cement his place as one of the greatest quarterbacks to ever play the game.

Atlanta Falcons (Last Season: 10-6)
2018 Prediction: 10-6
Last season, Matt Ryan and the offense were nowhere near as good as they were in 2016, but this Atlanta team still managed to scrounge together ten wins. While I only predict that they will repeat last season’s win total, I expect improvements, particularly along the offensive front. While the players are mostly the same, the main reason I expect a bounce back year for the offense is that Ryan has now had a full year to learn Sarkisian’s offense. After Shanahan left for a head coaching job with the Niners, Ryan had to learn a new offensive system. Obviously, it did not take with the former MVP quickly, as he regressed from a 38/7 TD/INT season to a 20/12 season. That’s a huge regression in the passing game for a team that saw almost no offensive players lost during the previous offseason.

The good news from last year is that even with such a poor passing season, the defense was able to hold firm and keep Atlanta competitive in a very tough division. The bad news is that this division has not gotten any weaker. So, in order to stay competitive, the defense will have to continue to play well, and the offense will have to return to their 2018 form. With Freeman, Jones, and Coleman still in place, this offense certainly has the firepower to fight for playoff berth. Now, can they win the critical divisional games that will be crucial to them clinching their third straight playoff appearance?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Last Season: 5-11)
2018 Prediction: 5-11
This team is awful. And to make matters worse, they play in what appears to be the toughest division in the NFL. And to make matters EVEN WORSE, their quarterback is Jameis Winston. Unfortunately for the Buccaneers, whether or not this franchise succeeds in the next number of seasons will most likely ride on the shoulders of their young quarterback. The only good (?) news for Tampa Bay is that they will start the first three games of this season with Fitzpatrick under Center, who I actually think is the better option at quarterback. As you already know, Winston will be suspended to start the season because he GROPED AN UBER DRIVER. Look, with the the recent #metoo movement, we now realize that men are disgusting and that powerful men are generally even more disgusting, so this behavior can’t surprise anyone, but it is still shocking to read about.

The only question now is whether or not the Bucs will even go back to Winston when he returns from suspension. Winston is a turnover machine, a bad teammate, and a worse person. The fact that Tampa Bay has sheltered him for this long is amazing. Once they finally take the training wheels off, I expect his career to unravel, and, unfortunately for Winston, that unraveling may have already begun. While the offense is in disarray due to question marks at quarterback, the defense is no better. Last season, Tampa Bay finished dead last in overall defense. Now, in fairness, the Bucs play in arguably the toughest offensive division in the NFL, so it is not surprising to see them at the bottom. Still, the defense has a lot of improving to do if Tampa Bay hopes to be competitive at all this season. With such grim hopes of success for the coming years, the only interest I have in this team is if we are witnessing the end of Winston.

So, as you can see, the NFC South is horrible. I wonder if the NFC East is any good…



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