Monday, January 15, 2018

2018 Divisional Round Recap

So, another pretty mediocre weekend for me. I went 2-2 straight up and 2-1-1 ATS. That brings me to a total of 3-5 straight up and 4-3-1 ATS. Only three games left in the playoffs, so I don’t have much time to make up some ground on this horrible start. At least the games were good! All but one game was decided by one score.


Philadelphia Eagles (13-3) defeat Atlanta Falcons (10-6), 15-10
Well, it looks like I overestimated the abilities of the Falcon offense. I guess I should have known better. It’s been about a year since Atlanta has looked threatening when they have the ball in their hands. I still find it hard to comprehend how such a potent offense could get so drastically worse over the course of an off-season that saw them lose basically no key players. But here we are. Atlanta was good enough to squeak into the playoffs, but they were unable to outscore Nick Foles and the tepid Philadelphia offense.

To the Eagles’ credit, they played very well defensively all game, making Ryan uncomfortable, and keeping the running game in check. Foles played the role of game manager masterfully, not turning the ball over, going an efficient 23/30 threw the air. The game ended up being an exciting defensive struggle from beginning to end. And even after struggling so much throughout the entire game, the Falcons had a chance to win it on their final drive, but they came up short on 4th and goal, when Julio Jones slipped out of his route at the critical moment.

One of the more interesting things I found about this game was the long possessions, which caused the Falcons to only possess the ball four times in the second half. They were unable to score a single point from any of those four possessions, as the Eagle defense and offense did a great job of controlling the game flow, doing just enough to grab the win.


New England Patriots (13-3) defeat Tennessee Titans (9-7), 35-14
This game was boring, just as expected. The Titans were horribly overmatched, and the Patriots did not lose focus against a clearly weaker opponent. The only exciting part for me was that I nailed this prediction. As I predicted, the Titans scored first. I also predicted that the Patriots would then score 24 unanswered points. I was close, but the Patriots actually scored 35 unanswered points. I also predicted that the Patriots would be up 24-10 at halftime, but they were actually up 21-7 at halftime. Finally, I predicted a final score of 38-17, which again, I was very close, as the final score was 35-14. Again, this was by far the most boring game of the Divisional Round, so I won’t talk about it anymore. The Patriots won easily. For the seventh straight season, they will play in the AFC Championship Game. Blah blah blah. Same old shit.


Jacksonville Jaguars (10-6) defeat Pittsburgh Steelers (13-3), 45-42
This was a great game. The Jaguar offense looked shockingly good, but the Steelers simply would not go away, making repeated spectacular plays to stay alive. Fournette and the Jaguars got Jacksonville out to an early 21-0 lead. Memories of Week 5 quickly began to creep into the minds of those at Heinz Field, as the Pittsburgh faithful were having flashbacks to that 30-9 whooping that they received earlier in the season. However, before the Steelers could dwell on the past for too long, they were able to respond with a touchdown and a defensive stop. However, the positive momentum was short lived, as the Jaguars strip sacked Roethlisberger and returned the fumble for a touchdown. Once again, Jacksonville led by 21 points.

Still, the Steelers refused to go down quietly. On 4th and 11, with about 30 seconds left in the half, Roethlisberger connected with Bryant for a touchdown, which was a huge momentum boost, as the Steelers were set to receive the ball to start the second half. Pittsburgh immediately took advantage of this, as they were able to score a touchdown on their opening possession of the second half. Just like that, we had a tight game again. Yet Jacksonville did their best to maintain their lead, as Bortles led the Jaguars down the field on a critical 4th quarter drive, to increase the lead back back to 14, 35-21. And then again, Pittsburgh came up with another huge 4th down touchdown, as Roethlisberger found Brown for a 43 yard score. The Steelers continued to find themselves in tough situations, only to weasel their way out of them with spectacular plays.

But again, Jacksonville refused to roll over, answering with their own touchdown drive. The Steelers continued to hang on, cutting the lead to 42-35 with 2 minutes remaining. However, they were unable to recover the ensuing onside kick, and the Jaguars extended their lead with a field goal. STILL, the Steelers refused to go down. Roethlisberger led Pittsburgh down the field for another touchdown, but it was too late, as there was only one second remaining when they scored. Ultimately, the Jaguars won in a shockingly high scoring game, a stunning turnaround from their horrible offensive showing against Buffalo from just last week.


Minnesota Vikings (13-3) defeat New Orleans Saints (11-5), 29-24
And finally, the game of the year. This one was absolutely bonkers. And my prediction was pretty damn accurate, too. I said the final score would be 26-20, a 6 point Minnesota victory. Instead, the Vikings won by 5 points, 29-24. I said that the Vikings would win on a walk-off 75 yard touchdown catch by Stefon Diggs. Instead, the Vikings won on a walk-off 61 yard touchdown catch by Stefon Diggs. Good job me. Good job Case Keenum. Good job Vikings fans. Bad job Marcus Williams.

If you didn’t see the final play yet, please go watch it. There is little I can say that will represent how absolutely insane the end of this game was. Even the build up was great. For many years, the Vikings have found new and innovative ways to torture their fans (well, it’s mostly been missed field goals in clutch moments, but still). Now, up 17-0 at halftime, even the most experienced and pessimistic Minnesotan must have been feeling at least a little bit comfortable. However, I’m sure that even in that comfort of a 17 point halftime lead, that inkling of doubt was there. And as we would find out, it was there for good reason.

In the second half, that inkling grew into fear, as Brees finally cracked the Minnesota defense, to cut the lead to 10 points. And then that fear grew into terror, as Keenum threw an uncharacteristic interception, which immediately led to 7 more Saint points. And then, that terror grew into misery, when Kamara scored a touchdown to give the Saints their first lead of the game, 21-20 with 3 minutes remaining. A minor glimpse of hope appeared when Forbath gave the lead back to Minnesota on a 53 yard field goal with 1:29 left in the game. However, any seasoned Vikings fan knew that this was too good to be true. There was simply too much time left for a quarterback that thrives in these exact types of situations. Every Vikings fan knew that the Saints would score. And that’s when terror turned to complete despair, when New Orleans regained the lead with 25 seconds remaining. With only one timeout left, all hope seemed lost for Minnesota. Keenum was simply not the type of quarterback who won games in situations like these. But then… absolute madness. The Miracle in Minneapolis. The Vikings walked off on an incredibly improbable 61 yard touchdown, and everyone at U.S. Bank Stadium lost their minds. You’ll see few games as thrilling as this one in your lifetime. Appreciate it when you get the chance to witness them, as this one was an all time great. So congrats to the tortured Minnesota fan base. Every fan deserves at least one of these moments.



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